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Calculus of Dissent: How the Kremlin is Countering Its Rivals - grey_dolphin [entries|archive|friends|userinfo]
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Calculus of Dissent: How the Kremlin is Countering Its Rivals [Apr. 24th, 2015|04:39 pm]
grey_dolphin
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Моя статья под таким названием опубликована в издании Russian Analytical Digest (No.166) http://www.css.ethz.ch/publications/pdfs/Russian_Analytical_Digest_166.pdf

«... The implementation of a harsh coercive strategy is possible (yet not predetermined) if the authorities perceive a threat of mass mobilization or regime overthrow. In other words, if the Kremlin’s politics of fear do not achieve their goals, the regime could resort to various types of force. But these perceptions may be affected by numerous factors which are hardly predictable. Authoritarian regimes, including Russia’s, often suffer from a lack of correct information about the situation in their respective countries. Accordingly, their calculus of dissent and choice of coercive strategies may be risky for the rulers themselves. Certainly, these developments potentially are even more hazardous for Russian society»
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